Professional Presentations

“Misconstruing the Liberal International Order and its Evolution.” Presentation at Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, April 7, 2018.

“Roundtable: International Cooperation Revisited: Power, Rules, Circumstance, and Choice: In Honor of
Arthur Stein.” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, April 6, 2018.

“Progress and Regress in the Development of a Liberal Order.'” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, September 2, 2017.

“Cooperation and the Mitigation of Autonomy and Externalities.” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, September 1, 2017.

“The Democracy Particle and the Search for the Public Opinion-Foreign Policy Link” (with Carley Fernandez). Presentation at the 4th East Asian Security Workshop, Osaka, Japan, July 24, 2017.

“Proposal for an Institutionalization of Track II Diplomacy” (with Robert F. Trager). Presentation at the Policy Levers for Great Power Peace Workshop, Yale University, New Haven, CT, May 2017.

“Realism, Equilibrium Theory, and Historical Change.” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Baltimore, February 25, 2017.

“System Structure and Regional Differentiation.” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Baltimore, February 23, 2017.

“Great Powers and Stability: The United States as a Source of Order and Disorder.” Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, Sept. 3, 2016.

“Strategic Speech and International Politics.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, Sept. 1, 2016.

“The Global Trade Slowdown: Technology, Value Added and Global Supply Chains.” Presentation at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), National Center for International Strategy, and Harvard Kennedy School of Government, Conference on US-China Relations, Cambridge, MA, April 14-16, 2016.

"Macromotives: Problems in Inferring Collective Intentions.'' Paper prepared for presentation at "Scaling Forms: Dialogues Across Disciplines Conference." University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, April 1, 2016.

"The BRICs and the G20. A club of consequence, support or disruption for the G20 and global governance." Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Atlanta, March 18, 2016.

"Recurring Crises and the Origins of War." Presentation at Centre for International Peace and Security Studies, McGill University, Canada, November 7, 2014.

"Recurring Crises and the Origins of War: The Case of 1914 and Contemporary East Asian Security Concerns." Presentation at the the East Asian Security Workshop, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan, May 9, 2014.

"Long Range Dependence and Assessing Structural Breaks: The Case of Collective Violence in Indonesia" (with David A. Meyer). Presentation at the the East Asian Security Workshop, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan, May 8, 2014.

"Analyzing ‘long data' on collective violence in Indonesia" (with David A. Meyer, Anna Malyarenko and Nan Zou). Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of Asian Studies, Philadelphia, March 30, 2014.

"Recalcitrance and initiative: US hegemony and regional powers in Asia and Europe after World War II." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Toronto, March 27, 2014.

"Globalization and the Decline or Resurgence of the West." Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Toronto, March 27, 2014.

"Ethnicity, Extraterritoriality, and Political Conflict." Presentation at a Research Workshop on "The Politics of Ethnic Conflicts in Asia and the Middle East." Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel, March 24, 2014.

"The Analogy of World War I." Presentation at the 2014 CASS Forum: China U.S. Think Tank Dialogue: Toward a New Model of Major-Country Relations between China and the United States, Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), Beijing, China, January 6, 2014.

"Superpositionality in East Asia versus the Great European Peace: Great Power Competition and Transcending Rivalry Following World War II." Paper presented at the East Asian Security Workshop, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan, April 18-19, 2013.

"Varieties of Diffusion and the Problem of International Order." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, April 4, 2013.

"Is it possible for China and US to Build a New Type of Great Power Relationship?" Conference presentation: Challenge and Cooperation: How Can Rising China and Adjusting US Manage Their Relations and Deal with Global Challenges? Institute of China-US People to People Exchange, Peking University, Beijing, China, January 14-17, 2013.

"Interdependence and US-China Conflict." Conference presentation on Chinese Strategy and the US Responses: How Far is Adjustment Possible?, Harvard University, Nov. 12, 2011.

"Agglomeration versus Balance of Power." Presentation at the International Security Studies Section/International Security and Arms Control (ISSS/ISAC) annual conference, Security for the Future, Irvine, CA, Oct. 14, 2011.

"Power Politics and the Powerless." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 4, 2010. Revised version presented at the conference on "Back to Basics: Rethinking Power in the Contemporary World," Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance, Princeton University, October 1-2, 2010.

"Agglomeration: Sneaking Up on the Balance of Power?" Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 3, 2010.

"Sanctions, Inducements, and Market Power: Political Economy of International Influence." Paper presented at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Washington, DC, September 1, 2010, and at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 3, 2010.

"Publishing." Presentation, Institute for Qualitative and Multi-method Research (IQMR), Syracuse University, June 25, 2010, June 2011.

"Security Institutions." Presentation: New Foundations for Global Governance Conference, Princeton University,
January 8-9, 2010.

"The Puzzling Power of the Powerless." Paper presented at the conference, "Power in the Contemporary World," in honor of Stephen D. Krasner, Stanford, Calif., December 4-5, 2009.

"Nonproliferation Inducements." Presentation, Workshop on Positive and Negative Inducements in Non-Proliferation, Laguna Beach, CA, March 20, 2009.

GIR -- Princeton Summer Workshop, "Rising States; Rising Institutions." Presentation, Princeton University, August 26, 2008. \\

Presentation, ISSS Distinguished Scholar Panel in Honor of Richard Rosecrance, International Studies Annual Convention, San Francisco, CA, March 28, 2008.

"Analyzing Event Count Data with Long Range Dependencies" (with David A. Meyer). Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 31, 2007.

"Causality is Scale Invariant" (with David Meyer). Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 31, 2007.

"Economic Statecraft: Trade and International Conflict." Presentation at Center for Global Peace and Conflict Studies, University of California, Irvine, May 2, 2007.

"Incentive Compatibility and Effective Multilateralism." Presentation at the 2nd Annual Conference on International Governance Innovation (CIGI '06), Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo, Canada, September 16, 2006.

"Geography of violence and state failure" (with David Meyer). Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, September 2, 2006.

"Scaling Dimension of Political Preferences" (with David Meyer). Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, September 2, 2006.

"Agglomeration Processes in International Politics -- the Search for Size and Scale." Presentation, Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, September 1, 2006.

"A New Multilateralism." Paper presented at the Workshop on Global Institutional Reform, Princeton, NJ, August 24-25, 2006.

"Grand Coalitions and Governance." Presentation at a Session on Global Institutional Reform at a Colloquium on Global Institutional Reform (GIR) Initiation, Presentation at a Conference on a Project on Global Governance Management, Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), Waterloo, Canada, September 16, 2005.

"Mitigating the Failures of the Balance of Power." Presentation, Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 4, 2005.

"The Dilemma of Devolution and Federalism: Scottish Nationalism in the United Kingdom." Presented at the UCLA-Harvard conference on "Globalization, National Self-Determination, and Terrorism" (Sponsored by The Carnegie Corporation of New York), Luxe Summit Hotel, Brentwood, Sept. 23-24, 2003. Revised version presented at the conference on "Globalization, National Self Determination and Terrorism III," Harvard University, Belfer Center, Kennedy School of Government, October 22-23, 2004.

"Nationalism in a Globalizing Age: From a Question of Viability to one of Acceptability." Presented at the UCLA-Harvard conference on "Globalization, National Self-Determination, and Terrorism" (Sponsored by The Carnegie Corporation of New York), Luxe Summit Hotel, Brentwood, Sept. 23-24, 2003. Revised version presented at the conference on "Globalization, National Self Determination and Terrorism III," Harvard University, Belfer Center, Kennedy School of Government, October 22-23, 2004.

"Globalization and National Self-Determination." Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, August 29, 2002.

"Scotland." Presentation at the Conference on "Globalization, Terrorism and National Self Determination," Harvard University, Belfer Center, Kennedy School of Government, May 18, 2002.

"National Assertion and Terrorism in the Middle East: Syria, Iraq, Iran and the Role of the Palestinian Authority." Presentation at the Conference on "Globalization, Terrorism and National Self Determination," Harvard University, Belfer Center, Kennedy School of Government, May 17, 2002.

"Globalization and Terrorism." Presentation at the Conference on "Globalization, Terrorism and National Self Determination," Harvard University, Belfer Center, Kennedy School of Government, May 17, 2002.

"Domestic Politics and Grand Strategy." Key Theme Panel Pesentation, Annual meeting of the International Studies Association, New Orleans, March 26, 2002.

"The Great Trilemma: Are Globalization, Democracy and Sovereignty Compatible?" Presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, New Orleans, March 25, 2002.

"Are Democracy, Globalization, and Sovereignty Compatible?" Presentation at Colloquium Series on "The Globalization Question," Center for Globalization and Policy Research, School of Public Policy and Social Research, UCLA, October 24, 2001.

Presentation at "Future of American Security" Conference, Political Science Student Organization (PSSO), UCLA, October 23, 2001.

"Democracy, Sovereignty, and Globalization." Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, August 30, 2001.

"Order, Conflict and Violence." Conference presentation on "Rethinking Political Order: The Nation State in the Emerging World." Yale University, New Haven, Conn., March 29--April 1, 2001.

"Justification and International Politics: Strategic Speech, Constrained Choice, and International Society." Paper presented at the University of Virginia Law School, Charlottesville, Virginia, March 2, 2001.

"Justification in International Politics: Domestic Politics, the Society of States, and the Language of Cooperation and Conflict." Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, September 1, 2000.

"The Origins of Norms in International Politics and Their Possible Applications" Conference presentation, Los Angeles, California, October 1--3, 1999.

"Assassins of Peace?: Spoilers and the Peace Process in the Middle East" (with Rupen Cetinyan). Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, September 2-5, 1999.

"Constrained Sovereignty: The Growth of International Intrusiveness." Paper presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, September 2-5, 1999.

"Is an Encompassing Coalition of Major States Needed to Ensure Peace And Prosperity in The New Millennium?" Conference presentation, Wilton Park, March 19--21, 1999.

"Norms in Future International Politics," Conference presentation, UCLA, Los Angeles, November 7--8, 1998.

Presentation at panel on "An Encompassing Coalition to Prevent Deadly Conflict," at the Conference on "Preventing Deadly Conflict Among Nations in the 21st Century," UCLA, April 22, 1998.

"The Causes of War - the view from Political Science." Presentation at the Colloquium on War and Peace, UCLA, November 7-8, 1997.

"Rational Extremism" (with Rupen Cetinyan). Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, August 30, 1997.

"Transnationalism and Norms." Presented at a conference, "Transnationalism in World Politics," Pepperdine University, May 31, 1997.

"The Rise of the Justifying State: International Society and Constrained Sovereignty." Paper presented at the conference on "International Relations in the 21st Century," Palm Springs, California, January 24-26, 1997.

"Normative Equilibrium and International Politics." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, 1996.

"Ethnicity, Extraterritoriality, and International Politics." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, September 1995.

"The Art of the Science of Choice." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, September 1995.

"Geostructuralism and International Politics: The End of the Cold War and the Regionalization of International Security," with Steven Lobell. Paper presented at a Conference on Reconceptualizing Regional Relations, Laguna Beach, California, June 6-7, 1994.

"Normative Equilibrium and International Politics." Paper presented at a conference on "Norms and Emulation in International and Domestic Behavior," Palms Springs, January 13-16, 1994.

"Disequilibrium and Equilibrium Theory: Explaining War in a Theory of Peace, Explaining Alliances in a Theory of Autonomy." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., September 5, 1993. Also presented to the Workshop on International Strategy, UCLA, October 14, 1993, and to the Colloquium in International Relations at Berkeley, February 1994.

"Norms in International Politics: Normal and Normative." Paper presented at a conference on "The Emergence of New Norms in Personal and International Behavior," UCLA, May 5-7, 1993.

"Effects on Canada." Discussant presentation at a conference on "The New World Economic Disorder: The North American Free Trade Agreement," UCLA, April 26, 1993.

"Nationalism and International Relations Theory." Presentation at a panel discussion on "Nationalism, Inter-Ethnic Rivalry and International Relations," UC Davis, March 24, 1993.

"Internationalization and Domestic Politics." Discussant at conference, UCLA, Nov. 12-15, 1992.

"Balance of Power v. Public Goods." Presentation at a conference on "Solving the Public Goods Problem in International Relations." Conference, UCLA, June 26-28, 1992.

"Constraints and Determinants: Realism, Domestic Politics, Levels of Analysis, and International Politics." Conference on Domestic Politics and Multilateralism, University of California, San Diego, May 1-2, 1992.

"Domestic Politics, Grand Strategy, and International Stability." Lecture, University of Denver, Graduate School of International Studies, March 23, 1992.

"The Crisis in the Gulf." Panel presentation, Hillel, Purdue, September 11, 1990.

"The Political Economy of Grand Strategy." Presentation to the International Relations Program, University of California, Davis, May 17, 1990.

"Domestic Constraints and International Responsibilities: American Grand Strategy on the Eve of World War II and before Korea." Presentation at the Conference on the Political Economy of Grand Strategy, UCLA, Los Angeles, March 15-17, 1990.

"The Political Economy of Grand Strategy." Presentation at the Conference on the Political Economy of Grand Strategy, UCLA, Los Angeles, March 15-17, 1990.

"The Political Economy of National Security Policy." Prepared for delivery at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, London, March 1989. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, September 1, 1989.

"Government, Interdependence, and Cooperation." Paper presented at Program on International Politics, Economics and Security (PIPES), University of Chicago, May 18, 1989.

"International Interdependence: Preliminary Thoughts on Conceptualization, Measurement, and Modeling." Paper presented at a Workshop on "Models and Concepts of Interdependence Between Nations," Committee on Contributions of Behavioral and Social Science to the Prevention of Nuclear War, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., January 18-21, 1988.

"Dilemmas of Strategic Choice: Survival, Competition, and the Non emergence of Cooperation." Presentation to the Research Colloquium on International Affairs, Center for International Studies, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, December 3, 1987.

"War Settlement, State Structures, and National Security Policy." Paper presented to the Committee on States and Social Structures, Social Science Research Council, New York,

"The Struggle for Advantage: Arms Races, Arms Control, and International Competition." Presentation at Stanford University, March 4, 1986.

"The Struggle for Advantage: International Competition in an Anarchic World." Presentation at University of Pennsylvania, February 18, 1986.

"Politics as Strategy, Strategy as Politics: Domestic Debates, International Concerns, and Star Wars." Paper presented at a conference on "The Calculus of Terror: Nuclear Strategy and Its Discontents," Bellagio, Italy, December 1985.

"Restraints, Imperatives, and the Analysis of Soviet Foreign Policy." Paper presented at a conference on "Domestic Sources of Soviet Foreign and Defense Policy," UCLA, Los Angeles, October 1985.

"Competitors, Individualists, and International Cooperation." Presentation, California Conference of the Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California, Los Angeles, April 1985.

"Anarchy and Interdependence: The Logic of International Cooperation and Conflict." Presentation, California Conference of the Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California, Berkeley, April 26-28, 1984.

"World Politics as International Relations." Presentation at Brown University, January 5, 1984.

"The Hegemon's Dilemma: Great Britain, the United States, and the International Economic Order." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York City, September 4, 1981. Presented at UCLA Politics Colloquium, December 1981. Presented at University of Michigan, January 10, 1984.

"The New Multilateralism: Can the World Trading System Be Saved?" Presentation, Council on Foreign Relations Study Group, New York, April 26, 1983.

"The Coordination of Trade Policies Among the Advanced Industrial Countries," Presentation, Conference on International Stability and Cooperation: Theory and Practice, Sponsored by the National Science Foundation, Spring Hill Conference Center, Minnesota, October 14--16, 1982.

"Global Anarchy, State Interests, and International Regimes." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., August 29, 1980. Also presented at a Conference on International Regimes, UCLA, Los Angeles, October 1980. A revised version also presented at a second Conference on International Regimes, Indian Wells, California, February 1981.

"The Political Economy of Postwar Elections in the United States," (with Thad Brown). Prepared for delivery at the annual meeting of the Public Choice Society, San Francisco, March 1980. Presented at the Southern California Political Behavior Seminar (aka The Running Dog), UCLA, 1979.

"War, Mobilization, and Domestic Social Change." Presentation at Conflict Resolution Seminar, Yale University, November 19, 1976. Also presented at University of California, Berkeley, December 7, 1976; University of California, Los Angeles, January 1977; Michigan State University, February 28- 29, 1977; and University of Minnesota, February 1977.

"'Military Madness is Killing the Country': A Quantitative Investigation of some Domestic Social Effects of the Vietnam War." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C., February 20, 1975.

"The Balance of Payments Policies of the Kennedy Administration: Domestic and Foreign Determinants of Economic Policy." Paper presented at the eleventh annual North American Peace Science Conference, Peace Science Society (International), Cambridge, Massachusetts, November 5, 1973.

"The Situational Analysis Project," (with Richard Rosecrance, Alan Alexandroff, and Brian Healy). Presentation at the International Studies Association, Middle Atlantic Region Conference, New York City, November 18, 1972.

"The Balance of Power: Theories in Search of Reality," (with Richard Rosecrance, Alan Alexandroff, and Brian Healy). Presentation at the tenth annual North American Peace Science Conference, Peace Science Society (International), Philadelphia, November 14, 1972.