Empirical
Implications of Theoretical Models
June 24 through
July 21, 2007
John Ahlquist: I am a PhD candidate in political science at the
University of Washington. My
dissertation explains why some organizations develop the capacity to influence
national-level economic policy, with an empirical focus on peak-level labor
union confederations. My research interests
encompass comparative and international political economy, applied game theory,
quantitative methods, esp. network models, and computational simulation.
I'm a California
boy. I grew up in San Francisco
and completed high school in Orange County. I attended UC Berkeley as an undergraduate and worked in LA
for four years after school.
When I'm not
tying myself in knots trying to get out of graduate school, I am a thoroughly
addicted (though mediocre) surfer & a 4.0-4.5 level tennis player. I'm ready & willing to check out
music of almost any type. I also
attempt to support a sushi addiction on a grad student income.
Email: jsa5@u.washington.edu
Website: http://students.washington.edu/jsa5/
Bethany
Blackstone: I am a Ph.D.
candidate in Political Science at Emory University. My research interests
include Congress-Court interactions, judicial process and behavior and congressional
politics. My minor field is political methodology. My dissertation asks, (1)
"under what conditions will Congress refrain from enacting legislation
because of anticipation of negative treatment by the Supreme Court" and
(2) under what conditions does Congress/the Court enjoy the last move in
Congress-Court interactions?
Email: bblacks@emory.edu
Jos Elkink:
After receiving his MA from Leiden University in the Netherlands, Jos is
a PhD candidate in political science at Trinity College in Dublin, Ireland,
where he is working on developing an agent-based model of the international
diffusion of democracy. Through modeling the way attitudes change through
communication, and the way attitudes are translated into anti-regime behavior,
an attempt is being made to get more insight in the way democracy spreads over
the globe. He is also currently a fellow at the Institute for Quantitative
Social Science at Harvard University, where he consults students and staff on
quantitative analysis for their research. Besides (quantitative) research
methods, comparative politics, agent-based modeling, Jos is interested in Go, sailing,
piano, and many other things.
Email: jelkink@gmail.com
Philipp Fuerst: I am a forth-year Ph.D. student at Emory
University's Political Science Department. I focus on international conflict
and security. For my dissertation I examine grand strategy signals of
deterrence and reassurance. Besides interstate communication, I am very
interested in international alliances. Before I came to Emory, I received my
M.A. in Political Science from the Free University of Berlin. I grew up in
Moenchengladbach, a small city in the German Rhineland, which is known for
soccer, dark beer and champagne truffles. In my spare time I like to go
sailing, play soccer and travel.
Email: kfuerst@emory.edu
Roy Germano: I am currently a Ph.D. candidate in
Government at the University of Texas at Austin, generally interested in
international labor emigration, the political economy of developing countries,
and economic globalization. My
dissertation project is a study of the political causes and political impacts
of the large sums of money sent by expatriates (remittances) to developing
countries like Mexico, Poland, and Indonesia. Before coming to Austin, I studied International Relations
at the University of Chicago (M.A., 2003) and Political Science at Indiana
University (B.A., 2001). I am a
native of Louisville, KY. Hobbies
include traveling in Mexico, improving upon my conversational Spanish, and
cycling around Austin.
Email: rgermano@gov.utexas.edu
Email: roypgermano@yahoo.com
Website: http://www.roygermano.com
Jean-Franois
Godbout is a newly appointed
Assistant Professor of Political Science at Simon Fraser University. He is
finishing a Ph.D. at Northwestern University and obtained BA from the
University of Montreal. Godbout's research is primarily focused on American
Politics, Congress, and Elections. His dissertation entitled "Congress,
Representation, and Participation: The Influence of Voter Turnout on
Legislative Behavior in the House of Representatives", studies the relationship
between voter turnout and legislative representation in the United States
Congress. You can read more about Godbout's work on his website at http://www26.kellogg.northwestern.edu/jgo166/
Email: godbout@kellogg.northwestern.edu
Maria Elena
Guadamuz: 4th year PhD
student in political science at UCLA. Fields are comparative politics and
political methodology. Currently I
am exploring the role of political institutions on the advancement of economic
reforms in Latin America. I was
born in Nicaragua, and grew up in the Bay Area.
Email: mariaelena.guadamuz@gmail.com
Chris Haid is a doctoral student in political
science at the University of Chicago. His research interests include electoral violence,
authoritarian politics, and democratization as well as the use of mathematical
methods to explain political phenomena.
His current projects include a game theoretic model of militant violence
during elections, an event history analysis of the effects of regional
rebellions on authoritarian regime types (with Dan Slater), and a dynamic model
of franchise extension in authoritarian regimes.
Chris is from
Great Falls, VA and holds degrees from the College of William and Mary and the
University of Chicago. Having
retired from post-collegiate lacrosse, he's recently taken up tennis.
Email: haid@uchicago.edu
Haifeng Huang is a rising fifth year student in
political science at Duke University, where he has recently received a master's
degree in economics. He has been working on a model of central-local government
relations in China and a model of electoral competition with voter uncertainty
about candidate intentions. He plans to analyze the relationship between mass media
(freedom) and political control in non-democratic countries for his
dissertation. Haifeng is from China, and his name has been variously pronounced
as Haifa, hyphen, or have fun...
Email: h.huang@duke.edu
Aya Kachi: I recently finished my second year in Political
Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. I have diverse
research interests in democratic and authoritarian institutions, political behavior
and cooperation theory. My methodological interests are both in formal modeling
and statistics, with stronger emphasis on the former. My project at EITM
focuses on the effects of various structural and stochastic factors on
coalition bargaining duration and government survival, suggesting an
alternative empirical strategy that uses a multivariate distribution to correct
for the omitted variable bias caused by unobservables that affect both
bargaining duration and the government survival. The project is motivated by
bargaining models that highlight the possible correlation between the two
durations. I also recently started working on my dissertation topic regarding
revolution and regime transition. The major focus so far has been to
conceptualize the success of revolution as a collective consequence of
individuals' myopic decisions, introducing network and agent-based models. I
earned a B.A. in Economics from the University of Tokyo, and an M.A. also in
Economics from Duke University. Prior to entering the Political Science Ph.D.
program at Illinois, I spent a year in Tokyo, where I grew up, working for the
Japan Institute of International Affairs as a researcher.
Email: akachi2@uiuc.edu
Website: http://netfiles.uiuc.edu/akachi2/home
David
Hugh-Jones: I'm a PhD student from Essex University
Department of Government. My thesis is on direct democracy. I've just spent a
year getting a MS in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences at
Northwestern University's Managerial Economics and Decision Sciences department.
My interests include migration and local political economy, and the evolution
of altruism and morality.
Email: d-hugh-jones@northwestern.edu
Koji Kagotani is a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Political
Science at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). His fields of research are
international relations, applied game theory, and statistical methods. He is especially interested in the
politics of compliance in security and economic issues and has been studying
enforcement problems of military alliances and preferential trade agreements
(PTAs). His dissertation project
involves the effects of international trade on alliance reliability and the
duration of alliances, and the effects of international structures on the
performance of PTAs. He grew up in
Osaka, Japan and received his bachelor's degree in law and his master's degree
in policy studies from Kwansei Gakuin University. He enjoys playing golf and often can be found attending jazz
concerts in LA.
Email: kagotani@ucla.edu
Anna
Kalbhenn: I have been a research associate and PhD
Student at the Center for Comparative and International Studies, ETH Zurich,
Switzerland since June 2006. I am engaged in the National Center of Competence
in Research "Challenges to Democracy in the 21st Century",
collaborating in a project on democratic structures and processes and the
provision of public goods. Before moving from my home country, Germany, to
Switzerland, I studied public policy and management
(Diplom-Verwaltungswissenschaft) with a focus on international relations at the
University of Constance, Germany and the Universitat Autnoma de Barcelona,
Spain. During my studies, I worked as an intern to several political and public
institutions in
Brussels, Geneva
and Berlin.
Email: annaka@ir.gess.ethz.ch
Yong Kyun Kim is a PhD candidate in Political Science
at UNC, Chapel Hill. His main fields of interest are Comparative Politics,
International Political Economy, and Political Methodology. His dissertation
project explores three questions on global capital and the politics of
developing nations: 1) What makes governments more or less likely to default on
foreign debt? 2) How does the uncertainty regarding a government's ability and
willingness to pay affect the intensity of the discipline of financial markets
imposed on the government's welfare spending? and 3) When does foreign aid help
recipient governments buy foreign direct investment? Yong seeks answers to
these questions using a combination of formal methodology and statistical
analysis. At EITM he will be developing a series of theoretical models that
help us understand how political institutions shape developing countries'
incentives to act in a cooperative way in the globalizing world. Yong is from
Korea.
Email: ykkim@email.unc.edu
Julia Rabinovich: I am a fifth-year graduate student in the Political Science department at Northwestern University. I came to the Unites States from sunny Tel Aviv, Israel, about 5 years ago. My research focuses on the interaction between public opinion and political institutions. More specifically, I study the ways in which the structure of political institutions affects the relationship between political elites and the general public. I am currently working on my dissertation, tentatively titled "The Conditional Nature of Administrative Responsiveness to Public Opinion". My dissertation examines the theoretical and empirical relationship between public opinion and the policy-making of unelected executive agencies, a topic that has been largely neglected by public opinion-policy scholars. My other research interests include the role of political information on the gap between the respective foreign policy preferences of the general public and elites, as well as the impact of political parties' and constituents' respective preferences on legislators' voting behavior in Congress.
Email: j-rabinovich@northwestern.edu
Tyson Roberts is a fourth-year graduate student in the Political Science Department at UCLA. His research examines how changes in the international political economy affect politics in developing countries, particularly democratization and investment financing strategies.
Tyson is a Los Angeles native and has also lived in the Washington DC area; Ithaca, NY; and N'Dali, Benin. Email:tyson.roberts@ucla.edu Jacqueline
Rubin is a fourth-year
PhD student at Florida State University.
Her methodological interests in econometrics and formal theory are
driven by substantive interests in government killing, human rights and political
violence. At the EITM Institute
she will further develop her dissertation project, which builds on formal
delegation models to explain variance in civilian death tolls over space and
time. By focusing on killing as a
process rather than a governmental decision, she hopes to shed new light on the
covariates and conditionalities that explain noncombatant body counts. Jackie is originally from New York.
When she is not working she spends time with her fiance, her dog or playing the
drums (badly). Email: jrubin@fsu.edu Website: http://garnet.acns.fsu.edu/~jhr03 Yoji Sekiya: I am a PhD candidate in political science at the University of Rochester. I
analyse how domestic political factors can lead to the outbreak of war. I also
demonstrate that war begins because of commitment problem, but it also ends when
war has solved commitment problem. I am particularly interested in dynamic
models of bargaining. I also use structural models to test implications. I am
from Japan, and enjoy watching soccer games and playing poker. Email: yoji.sekiya@rochester.edu Zeynep Somer-Topcu is a PhD candidate at the University of
California-Davis, where she specializes in comparative politics. Her dissertation asks the broad
question of why political parties change their policy positions in advanced
industrial democracies. She examines this question using a combination of
spatial models, computational analyses, and empirical techniques. The EITM
project that she will be pursuing focuses more narrowly on the implications of
past election results and average shifts of other parties in the system on
party positional changes. Currently, she is also working on papers investigating
cabinet durations and formations in advanced industrial countries with a social
network approach, the effects of party shifts on election results, economic
voting in the post-Communist Europe, and the factors affecting party leader
durations. Zeynep is originally from Istanbul, Turkey and currently lives in
Berkeley, CA. She likes hiking, dancing, and reading literature. Email: zsomer@ucdavis.edu Martin Steinwand: I just finished my 3rd year in the PhD
program at the University of Rochester, and I am recently ABD. My dissertation
looks at the political economy of aid and civil war in developing countries. My
broader research interests also include economic aspects of interstate war.
Thus, my work lies at the intersection between international relations and
comparative politics. I grew up in West-Germany. I have a history degree from
Humboldt University in Berlin, and an MA in political science from Brandeis
University. Email: martin.steinwand@rochester.edu Website: http://www.steinwand.us Tatiana Vashchilko: I will be a fourth student in Political Science at
the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) in Fall 2007. How institutions affect
globalization is the broad research question that my dissertation focuses on.
In particular, I investigate the effects of the design variations in
international investment institutions on foreign direct investments (FDI). My research
interests include IPE (with the major focus on FDI), IO (with institutional
design as the major topic of interest), regional economic institutions (with
the concentration on such region as the Commonwealth of Independent States
(CIS)), political methodology and formal modeling. In formal modeling, some of
my research focuses on the application of signaling and contracting models to
the analysis of international institutions. My methodological interests include
spatial times series, choice models, and models of dyadic data. I have a
master's degree in Economics from the Pennsylvania State University. I grew up
in Russia, where I received my undergraduate degree in Finance and graduate
degree in Economics. Before coming to the US, I also worked as a journalist for
one of the Russian news agencies in Moscow. I like traveling, hiking, and reading, though during last
two years all my free time has been devoted to my family, my two-year old son
and my husband. Email: tvv105@psu.edu Melissa Willard: Foster is a PhD candidate in political science at
UCLA. She studies international relations and security and is particularly
interested in the study of how wars end. Her dissertation explores why, when,
and how victors impose regime change in the aftermath of interstate war. She
grew up in Massachusetts, attended Georgetown University as an undergraduate,
completed a masters at the University of Chicago and is now enjoying twelve
months of sunshine in LA. Email: willardm@ucla.edu