When a Fad Ends: An Agent Model of Imitative Behavior
Margo Waddell
margotanne@email.com
Throughout society there are instances of seemingly irrational
imitative behavior, or fads. Everyone can identify a fad when they
see one yet there is no comprehensive economic theory about their origins.
There are several theories that discuss why people replicate the choices
of other agents in the economy,
but none that are specific to the lifecycle of a fad. We present a
model that analyzes the interaction of several types of agents in a complex
market environment, from the initial product choice, through the period of
peak popularity, to the eventual demise of the fad. Using agent-based
modeling techniques, we obtain a pattern of acquisition and liquidation of
commodities that is consistent with the observed lifecycle of a fad.
The agents are autonomous and heterogeneous. There are two main subsets
of agents, Fad Setters and Fad Followers, with different rule sets. Each
of the individual instances of the agents in each subset has its own location
and initial good. They exist on a spherical surface, over which they
can search for other agents, interact with agents they find, and make purchases.
This allows a model of the lifecycle of the fad to evolve.